Apex Retail Group / Risk Threat → Asset → Method → Effect
FAIR Risk Engine · Scenarios
Scenarios are sentences, not categories.
Every scenario names a threat, an asset, a method, and an effect. The grammar makes the math defensible to operators who don't read CVSS.
Delta engine — Active Last computed May 16, 08:15 PM
Portfolio VaR (P95)
$34.2M
$20.5M – $34.2M
Annual Loss Expectancy
$13.6M
P50 estimate
EBITDA Impact
68.5%
of $50M baseline
Active Scenarios
6
all approved
Active Scenarios (6) 25,000 / 10,000 simulations · all approved
Scenario Category ALE / Yr VaR P95
BEC payment diversion BEC $1.3M $3.3M
Cloud storage exposure Cloud_misconfig $2.5M $7.1M
Ransomware via identity compromise Ransomware $4.4M $11.6M
Third-party breach propagation Third_party_breach $1.6M $5.0M
Verdant Health cloud misconfiguration exposure Cloud_misconfig $1.5M $2.8M
Verdant Health ransomware production outage Ransomware $2.4M $4.6M
Updated May 25, 12:39 PM FAIR engine v4.2 120,000 total simulations Source: Production