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Capability

Cyber Risk Quantification

Translate verified exposure into decision-support financial estimates with visible assumptions. The engine underneath is a real seeded Monte Carlo implementation, not a spreadsheet — a compound collective-risk loss model with extreme-value (EVT/GPD) tail fitting, Student-t copula correlation, paired common-random-numbers to isolate the effect of a single control change, quantile standard errors, and backtesting. These are engine capabilities applied per model, and every output stays a decision-support estimate with its method and confidence visible.

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LivePublic / indexed

What Valty does

EBITDA-at-risk, ALE, seeded Monte Carlo FAIR modeling, and board narratives. Valty turns this domain's signals into priced, proof-backed risk you can act on.

What stays yours

Decision-support estimate only; not actuarial, insurance, accounting, legal, or investment advice.

Buyer path

PE operating partner, CFO, board can request access and a proof sample built around this capability.

Cyber Risk Quantification product surface
Cyber Risk QuantificationEBITDA bridge, P10/base/P90 confidence band with quantile standard errors, source citations, visible FAIR assumptions, and control-delta comparison

Financial proof component

Financial impact stays inspectable.

A lighter FinancialHeroCard translation gives CFO and cyber-risk routes the money number, confidence band, and source caveat without adding a new public-site dependency.

FinancialHeroCard pattern

Portfolio value at risk

Live proof grammar
$14.2M

Decision-support value with assumption, confidence, and source coverage visible before a buyer treats it as a board claim.

P10 $10.8MBase $14.2MP90 $17.6M

CausalityCard pattern

3 drivers

Why this number moved

The card ties source coverage, exploitability, remediation state, and business context to the estimate instead of leaving the value as a naked claim.

Proof matrix

Capability proof requirements

Every claim shows its source, confidence, and limits, so you can trust the number before you act on it.

ClaimSourceConfidenceFreshness
Capability claimEBITDA-at-risk, ALE, seeded Monte Carlo FAIR modeling, and board narrativesLivePublic / indexed
Evidence artifactEBITDA bridge, P10/base/P90 confidence band with quantile standard errors, source citations, visible FAIR assumptions, and control-delta comparisonSource-linkedReviewed before publish
BoundaryDecision-support estimate only; not actuarial, insurance, accounting, legal, or investment advice.Claim-reviewedQuarterly or on product change